{ "generated": "2026-07-02T19:31:54", "exclusions": { "total_sets": 250, "target_a_used": 88, "target_a_excluded": { "missing_growth_12m": 162 }, "target_b_used": 198, "target_b_excluded": { "age_under_1yr": 52 }, "score_breakdown_mismatches": [] }, "target_a": { "description": "bricke_growth_12m (%), BrickEconomy, retired sets only", "headline": { "full_score": { "n": 88, "spearman": 0.117, "pearson": 0.117, "p_approx": 0.2778 }, "ex_momentum_score": { "n": 88, "spearman": -0.004, "pearson": 0.002, "p_approx": 0.9718 } }, "per_factor": { "discount": { "n": 88, "spearman": null, "pearson": null, "p_approx": null, "constant_at": 0.0, "interpretation": "CONSTANT at 0 pts for every set — no variance, factor is currently dormant" }, "retirement": { "n": 88, "spearman": 0.239, "pearson": 0.272, "p_approx": 0.0244, "interpretation": "weak positive (rho=+0.239)" }, "spread": { "n": 88, "spearman": -0.25, "pearson": -0.235, "p_approx": 0.0187, "interpretation": "weak negative (rho=-0.250)" }, "forecast": { "n": 88, "spearman": 0.13, "pearson": 0.125, "p_approx": 0.2287, "interpretation": "no meaningful signal (rho=+0.130)" }, "momentum": { "n": 88, "spearman": 0.915, "pearson": 0.91, "p_approx": 0.0, "interpretation": "strong positive (rho=+0.915)" }, "theme": { "n": 88, "spearman": -0.085, "pearson": -0.092, "p_approx": 0.4309, "interpretation": "no meaningful signal (rho=-0.085)" } }, "deciles": { "bins": [ { "bin": 1, "n": 9, "score_min": 24.0, "score_max": 36.0, "mean": 1.4, "median": 1.57 }, { "bin": 2, "n": 9, "score_min": 36.0, "score_max": 40.0, "mean": 1.08, "median": 0.83 }, { "bin": 3, "n": 9, "score_min": 42.0, "score_max": 45.0, "mean": 1.3, "median": 1.73 }, { "bin": 4, "n": 9, "score_min": 46.0, "score_max": 49.0, "mean": 0.84, "median": 1.27 }, { "bin": 5, "n": 9, "score_min": 50.0, "score_max": 51.0, "mean": 1.43, "median": 0.97 }, { "bin": 6, "n": 9, "score_min": 51.0, "score_max": 53.0, "mean": 1.85, "median": 1.85 }, { "bin": 7, "n": 9, "score_min": 54.0, "score_max": 56.0, "mean": 1.66, "median": 1.49 }, { "bin": 8, "n": 9, "score_min": 57.0, "score_max": 66.0, "mean": 1.13, "median": 1.49 }, { "bin": 9, "n": 8, "score_min": 66.0, "score_max": 68.0, "mean": 2.2, "median": 1.93 }, { "bin": 10, "n": 8, "score_min": 69.0, "score_max": 73.0, "mean": 1.6, "median": 1.28 } ], "overall_mean": 1.44, "top_bin_mean": 1.6, "bottom_bin_mean": 1.4, "top_minus_overall": 0.16, "top_minus_bottom": 0.2 }, "quintiles": { "bins": [ { "bin": 1, "n": 18, "score_min": 24.0, "score_max": 40.0, "mean": 1.24, "median": 1.0 }, { "bin": 2, "n": 18, "score_min": 42.0, "score_max": 49.0, "mean": 1.07, "median": 1.35 }, { "bin": 3, "n": 18, "score_min": 50.0, "score_max": 53.0, "mean": 1.64, "median": 1.48 }, { "bin": 4, "n": 17, "score_min": 54.0, "score_max": 65.0, "mean": 1.54, "median": 1.49 }, { "bin": 5, "n": 17, "score_min": 66.0, "score_max": 73.0, "mean": 1.72, "median": 1.53 } ], "overall_mean": 1.44, "top_bin_mean": 1.72, "bottom_bin_mean": 1.24, "top_minus_overall": 0.28, "top_minus_bottom": 0.48 }, "segments": { "by_theme": { "Architecture": { "n": 8, "mean_target": 0.85, "mean_score": 48.6, "spearman": 0.554, "p_approx": 0.1626 }, "Creator Expert": { "n": 22, "mean_target": 0.97, "mean_score": 55.6, "spearman": 0.329, "p_approx": 0.1368 }, "Disney": { "n": 8, "mean_target": 3.17, "mean_score": 43.0, "spearman": 0.214, "p_approx": 0.6265 }, "Harry Potter": { "n": 6, "mean_target": 1.23, "mean_score": 42.5, "spearman": null, "note": "n < 8, correlation not computed" }, "Icons": { "n": 15, "mean_target": 1.58, "mean_score": 55.2, "spearman": 0.062, "p_approx": 0.83 }, "Ideas": { "n": 15, "mean_target": 1.55, "mean_score": 57.7, "spearman": 0.332, "p_approx": 0.2317 }, "Star Wars": { "n": 2, "mean_target": 2.04, "mean_score": 55.0, "spearman": null, "note": "n < 8, correlation not computed" }, "Technic": { "n": 12, "mean_target": 1.21, "mean_score": 42.8, "spearman": 0.273, "p_approx": 0.4012 } }, "by_status": { "retired": { "n": 88, "mean_target": 1.44, "mean_score": 51.5, "spearman": 0.117, "p_approx": 0.2778 }, "active": { "n": 0 } } }, "pairs": [ { "set_id": "10217", "name": "Diagon Alley", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2011, "retired": true, "score": 37.0, "rrp_chf": 121.67, "current_value_chf": 308.0, "target": -0.92 }, { "set_id": "10232", "name": "Palace Cinema", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 330.99, "target": 0.78 }, { "set_id": "10233", "name": "Horizon Express", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 105.45, "current_value_chf": 286.12, "target": 0.97 }, { "set_id": "10234", "name": "Sydney Opera House", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 258.54, "current_value_chf": 374.7, "target": 1.78 }, { "set_id": "10241", "name": "Maersk Line Triple-E", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 400.36, "target": 0.32 }, { "set_id": "10243", "name": "Parisian Restaurant", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 344.46, "target": 0.9 }, { "set_id": "10244", "name": "Fairground Mixer", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -2.18 }, { "set_id": "10246", "name": "Detective's Office", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2015, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 404.55, "target": 2.0 }, { "set_id": "10247", "name": "Ferris Wheel", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2015, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 295.11, "target": 0.86 }, { "set_id": "10251", "name": "Brick Bank", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 71.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 571.61, "target": 1.04 }, { "set_id": "10253", "name": "Big Ben", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 419.35, "target": 0.83 }, { "set_id": "10255", "name": "Assembly Square", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 328.76, "target": 1.28 }, { "set_id": "10256", "name": "Taj Mahal", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 297.03, "current_value_chf": 426.8, "target": 0.32 }, { "set_id": "10257", "name": "Carousel", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 374.31, "target": 0.19 }, { "set_id": "10258", "name": "London Bus", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 138.93, "target": 1.73 }, { "set_id": "10260", "name": "Downtown Diner", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 71.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 357.07, "target": 1.39 }, { "set_id": "10261", "name": "Roller Coaster", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 450.75, "target": 2.34 }, { "set_id": "10262", "name": "James Bond Aston Martin DB5", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 220.7, "target": 1.98 }, { "set_id": "10264", "name": "Corner Garage", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 294.07, "target": -1.16 }, { "set_id": "10265", "name": "Ford Mustang", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 193.51, "target": 1.83 }, { "set_id": "10268", "name": "Vestas Wind Turbine", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 162.01, "current_value_chf": 316.79, "target": 1.88 }, { "set_id": "10270", "name": "Bookshop", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 69.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 246.12, "target": 0.79 }, { "set_id": "10272", "name": "Old Trafford - Manchester United", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 60.0, "rrp_chf": 258.54, "current_value_chf": 549.55, "target": 1.49 }, { "set_id": "10273", "name": "Haunted House", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 46.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 326.69, "target": 1.27 }, { "set_id": "10274", "name": "Ghostbusters ECTO-1", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 307.96, "target": 1.01 }, { "set_id": "10276", "name": "Colosseum", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 507.86, "current_value_chf": 1210.85, "target": 1.49 }, { "set_id": "10278", "name": "Police Station", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 338.03, "target": 1.65 }, { "set_id": "10279", "name": "Volkswagen T2 Camper Van", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 46.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 190.95, "target": 1.53 }, { "set_id": "10283", "name": "NASA Space Shuttle Discovery", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 203.79, "target": 0.69 }, { "set_id": "10284", "name": "Camp Nou - FC Barcelona", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 73.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 485.9, "target": 1.17 }, { "set_id": "10290", "name": "Pickup Truck", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 151.31, "target": 0.23 }, { "set_id": "10292", "name": "The Friends Apartments", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 62.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 352.0, "target": 2.5 }, { "set_id": "10299", "name": "Real Madrid - Santiago Bernabéu Stadium", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 704.0, "target": 0.89 }, { "set_id": "10303", "name": "Loop Coaster", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 478.8, "target": 2.26 }, { "set_id": "10304", "name": "Chevrolet Camaro Z/28 1969", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 57.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 176.7, "target": 2.55 }, { "set_id": "10306", "name": "Atari 2600", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 227.57, "target": 3.11 }, { "set_id": "10320", "name": "Eldorado Fortress", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 198.52, "current_value_chf": 236.33, "target": 1.75 }, { "set_id": "10321", "name": "Corvette", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 165.96, "target": 1.67 }, { "set_id": "21005", "name": "Fallingwater", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2009, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 83.1, "current_value_chf": 391.34, "target": -0.5 }, { "set_id": "21010", "name": "Robie House", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2011, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 162.23, "current_value_chf": 528.0, "target": 0.21 }, { "set_id": "21017", "name": "Imperial Hotel", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 44.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 178.5, "target": 1.17 }, { "set_id": "21030", "name": "United States Capitol Building", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 64.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 196.77, "target": 0.54 }, { "set_id": "21046", "name": "Empire State Building", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 180.23, "target": 0.37 }, { "set_id": "21050", "name": "Studio", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 330.18, "target": -0.39 }, { "set_id": "21054", "name": "The White House", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": 3.14 }, { "set_id": "21056", "name": "Taj Mahal", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 123.39, "target": 2.3 }, { "set_id": "21309", "name": "NASA Apollo Saturn V", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 70.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 243.68, "target": 3.15 }, { "set_id": "21310", "name": "Old Fishing Store", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 419.7, "target": 1.53 }, { "set_id": "21311", "name": "Voltron", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 439.96, "target": 0.17 }, { "set_id": "21317", "name": "Steamboat Willie", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 81.0, "current_value_chf": 132.0, "target": 1.85 }, { "set_id": "21322", "name": "Pirates of Barracuda Bay", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 73.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 325.6, "target": 1.71 }, { "set_id": "21324", "name": "123 Sesame Street", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 72.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 172.3, "target": 0.63 }, { "set_id": "21325", "name": "Medieval Blacksmith", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 166.85, "target": 1.61 }, { "set_id": "21326", "name": "Winnie the Pooh", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 69.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 147.58, "target": 2.96 }, { "set_id": "21327", "name": "Typewriter", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 277.2, "target": 0.91 }, { "set_id": "21329", "name": "Fender Stratocaster", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 67.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 167.18, "target": 3.03 }, { "set_id": "21332", "name": "The Globe", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 52.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 259.39, "target": 0.65 }, { "set_id": "21334", "name": "Jazz Quartet", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 56.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 153.15, "target": 0.71 }, { "set_id": "21337", "name": "Table Football", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 216.89, "target": 0.51 }, { "set_id": "21338", "name": "A-Frame Cabin", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 188.8, "target": 0.26 }, { "set_id": "42082", "name": "Rough Terrain Crane", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 337.88, "target": -0.53 }, { "set_id": "42083", "name": "Bugatti Chiron", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 32.0, "rrp_chf": 341.65, "current_value_chf": 368.37, "target": 1.57 }, { "set_id": "42096", "name": "Porsche 911 RSR", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 24.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 162.07, "target": 0.97 }, { "set_id": "42099", "name": "4x4 X-Treme Off-Roader", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 259.6, "target": -0.43 }, { "set_id": "42100", "name": "Liebherr R 9800", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 61.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 803.9, "target": -0.31 }, { "set_id": "42110", "name": "Land Rover Defender", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 213.37, "target": 1.04 }, { "set_id": "42114", "name": "6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 65.0, "rrp_chf": 240.07, "current_value_chf": 385.83, "target": 2.32 }, { "set_id": "42125", "name": "Ferrari 488 GTE 'AF Corse #51'", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 217.84, "target": 3.79 }, { "set_id": "42128", "name": "Heavy-Duty Tow Truck", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 52.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 235.64, "target": -0.27 }, { "set_id": "42131", "name": "Cat D11 Bulldozer", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 785.84, "target": 1.96 }, { "set_id": "42145", "name": "Airbus H175 Rescue Helicopter", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 193.9, "current_value_chf": 265.14, "target": 1.83 }, { "set_id": "42157", "name": "John Deere 948L-II Skidder", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 175.44, "current_value_chf": 202.4, "target": 2.57 }, { "set_id": "43179", "name": "Mickey Mouse and Minnie Mouse Buildable Characters ", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 32.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 176.14, "target": 2.41 }, { "set_id": "43196", "name": "Belle and the Beast's Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 29.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 70.36, "target": 3.67 }, { "set_id": "43197", "name": "The Ice Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 253.07, "target": 2.3 }, { "set_id": "43205", "name": "Ultimate Adventure Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 96.78, "target": 2.31 }, { "set_id": "43207", "name": "Ariel's Underwater Palace", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 43.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 110.0, "target": 1.83 }, { "set_id": "43215", "name": "The Enchanted Treehouse", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 140.8, "target": 2.83 }, { "set_id": "43225", "name": "The Little Mermaid Royal Clamshell", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 67.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 228.54, "target": 5.83 }, { "set_id": "43227", "name": "Villain Icons", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 159.38, "target": 4.18 }, { "set_id": "4842", "name": "Hogwarts Castle", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2010, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 105.45, "current_value_chf": 226.98, "target": 0.83 }, { "set_id": "75365", "name": "Yavin 4 Rebel Base", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 175.97, "target": 1.46 }, { "set_id": "75371", "name": "Chewbacca", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 193.9, "current_value_chf": 250.52, "target": 2.62 }, { "set_id": "76389", "name": "Hogwarts Chamber of Secrets", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 136.4, "target": 2.41 }, { "set_id": "76393", "name": "Harry Potter & Hermione Granger", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 147.77, "target": 3.83 }, { "set_id": "76405", "name": "Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 526.49, "target": -0.19 }, { "set_id": "76408", "name": "12 Grimmauld Place", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 240.75, "target": 1.43 }, { "set_id": "92176", "name": "NASA Apollo Saturn V", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 54.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 249.57, "target": 3.58 } ] }, "target_b": { "description": "annualized lifetime appreciation %/yr, derived (current_value/RRP)^(1/age)-1, age>=1yr", "headline": { "full_score": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.779, "pearson": 0.759, "p_approx": 0.0 }, "ex_spread_score": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.439, "pearson": 0.423, "p_approx": 0.0 } }, "per_factor": { "discount": { "n": 198, "spearman": null, "pearson": null, "p_approx": null, "constant_at": 0.0, "interpretation": "CONSTANT at 0 pts for every set — no variance, factor is currently dormant" }, "retirement": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.166, "pearson": 0.162, "p_approx": 0.0195, "interpretation": "no meaningful signal (rho=+0.166)" }, "spread": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.925, "pearson": 0.883, "p_approx": 0.0, "interpretation": "strong positive (rho=+0.925)" }, "forecast": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.521, "pearson": 0.42, "p_approx": 0.0, "interpretation": "moderate positive (rho=+0.521)" }, "momentum": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.49, "pearson": 0.428, "p_approx": 0.0, "interpretation": "moderate positive (rho=+0.490)" }, "theme": { "n": 198, "spearman": 0.133, "pearson": 0.141, "p_approx": 0.0611, "interpretation": "no meaningful signal (rho=+0.133)" } }, "deciles": { "bins": [ { "bin": 1, "n": 20, "score_min": 17.0, "score_max": 24.0, "mean": -2.3, "median": -2.48 }, { "bin": 2, "n": 20, "score_min": 24.0, "score_max": 31.0, "mean": -2.11, "median": -2.12 }, { "bin": 3, "n": 20, "score_min": 31.0, "score_max": 33.0, "mean": -2.0, "median": -1.67 }, { "bin": 4, "n": 20, "score_min": 34.0, "score_max": 38.0, "mean": -0.32, "median": -0.38 }, { "bin": 5, "n": 20, "score_min": 38.0, "score_max": 42.0, "mean": 0.63, "median": -0.76 }, { "bin": 6, "n": 20, "score_min": 42.0, "score_max": 47.0, "mean": 1.9, "median": 2.83 }, { "bin": 7, "n": 20, "score_min": 47.0, "score_max": 51.0, "mean": 5.5, "median": 5.86 }, { "bin": 8, "n": 20, "score_min": 51.0, "score_max": 55.0, "mean": 6.81, "median": 5.99 }, { "bin": 9, "n": 19, "score_min": 55.0, "score_max": 64.0, "mean": 8.76, "median": 8.32 }, { "bin": 10, "n": 19, "score_min": 65.0, "score_max": 73.0, "mean": 10.69, "median": 9.27 } ], "overall_mean": 2.69, "top_bin_mean": 10.69, "bottom_bin_mean": -2.3, "top_minus_overall": 8.0, "top_minus_bottom": 12.99 }, "quintiles": { "bins": [ { "bin": 1, "n": 40, "score_min": 17.0, "score_max": 31.0, "mean": -2.2, "median": -2.48 }, { "bin": 2, "n": 40, "score_min": 31.0, "score_max": 38.0, "mean": -1.16, "median": -1.3 }, { "bin": 3, "n": 40, "score_min": 38.0, "score_max": 47.0, "mean": 1.27, "median": 0.87 }, { "bin": 4, "n": 39, "score_min": 47.0, "score_max": 55.0, "mean": 6.21, "median": 5.99 }, { "bin": 5, "n": 39, "score_min": 55.0, "score_max": 73.0, "mean": 9.58, "median": 9.22 } ], "overall_mean": 2.69, "top_bin_mean": 9.58, "bottom_bin_mean": -2.2, "top_minus_overall": 6.89, "top_minus_bottom": 11.78 }, "segments": { "by_theme": { "Architecture": { "n": 13, "mean_target": 3.75, "mean_score": 42.2, "spearman": 0.599, "p_approx": 0.0289 }, "Creator Expert": { "n": 22, "mean_target": 7.04, "mean_score": 55.6, "spearman": 0.459, "p_approx": 0.0304 }, "Disney": { "n": 21, "mean_target": 1.33, "mean_score": 36.8, "spearman": 0.643, "p_approx": 0.0012 }, "Harry Potter": { "n": 18, "mean_target": 2.09, "mean_score": 40.1, "spearman": 0.715, "p_approx": 0.0005 }, "Icons": { "n": 42, "mean_target": 2.99, "mean_score": 46.6, "spearman": 0.744, "p_approx": 0.0 }, "Ideas": { "n": 36, "mean_target": 3.4, "mean_score": 46.6, "spearman": 0.84, "p_approx": 0.0 }, "Star Wars": { "n": 16, "mean_target": -1.02, "mean_score": 39.4, "spearman": 0.538, "p_approx": 0.0301 }, "Technic": { "n": 30, "mean_target": 1.04, "mean_score": 32.7, "spearman": 0.868, "p_approx": 0.0 } }, "by_status": { "retired": { "n": 128, "mean_target": 5.18, "mean_score": 49.5, "spearman": 0.739, "p_approx": 0.0 }, "active": { "n": 70, "mean_target": -1.88, "mean_score": 31.0, "spearman": 0.284, "p_approx": 0.0168 } } }, "pairs": [ { "set_id": "10217", "name": "Diagon Alley", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2011, "retired": true, "score": 37.0, "rrp_chf": 121.67, "current_value_chf": 308.0, "target": 6.18 }, { "set_id": "10232", "name": "Palace Cinema", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 330.99, "target": 7.3 }, { "set_id": "10233", "name": "Horizon Express", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 105.45, "current_value_chf": 286.12, "target": 7.67 }, { "set_id": "10234", "name": "Sydney Opera House", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 258.54, "current_value_chf": 374.7, "target": 2.93 }, { "set_id": "10241", "name": "Maersk Line Triple-E", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 400.36, "target": 10.12 }, { "set_id": "10243", "name": "Parisian Restaurant", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 344.46, "target": 7.56 }, { "set_id": "10244", "name": "Fairground Mixer", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2014, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": 4.42 }, { "set_id": "10246", "name": "Detective's Office", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2015, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 404.55, "target": 9.77 }, { "set_id": "10247", "name": "Ferris Wheel", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2015, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 295.11, "target": 5.32 }, { "set_id": "10251", "name": "Brick Bank", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 71.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 571.61, "target": 14.46 }, { "set_id": "10253", "name": "Big Ben", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 419.35, "target": 7.52 }, { "set_id": "10255", "name": "Assembly Square", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 328.76, "target": 1.82 }, { "set_id": "10256", "name": "Taj Mahal", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 297.03, "current_value_chf": 426.8, "target": 4.32 }, { "set_id": "10257", "name": "Carousel", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 374.31, "target": 9.35 }, { "set_id": "10258", "name": "London Bus", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 138.93, "target": 2.57 }, { "set_id": "10260", "name": "Downtown Diner", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 71.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 357.07, "target": 11.79 }, { "set_id": "10261", "name": "Roller Coaster", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 450.75, "target": 4.96 }, { "set_id": "10262", "name": "James Bond Aston Martin DB5", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 220.7, "target": 6.06 }, { "set_id": "10264", "name": "Corner Garage", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 294.07, "target": 7.91 }, { "set_id": "10265", "name": "Ford Mustang", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 193.51, "target": 2.89 }, { "set_id": "10268", "name": "Vestas Wind Turbine", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 162.01, "current_value_chf": 316.79, "target": 9.22 }, { "set_id": "10270", "name": "Bookshop", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 69.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 246.12, "target": 4.52 }, { "set_id": "10272", "name": "Old Trafford - Manchester United", "theme": "Creator Expert", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 60.0, "rrp_chf": 258.54, "current_value_chf": 549.55, "target": 12.39 }, { "set_id": "10273", "name": "Haunted House", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 46.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 326.69, "target": 2.73 }, { "set_id": "10274", "name": "Ghostbusters ECTO-1", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 307.96, "target": 6.03 }, { "set_id": "10276", "name": "Colosseum", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 507.86, "current_value_chf": 1210.85, "target": 16.81 }, { "set_id": "10278", "name": "Police Station", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 338.03, "target": 11.63 }, { "set_id": "10279", "name": "Volkswagen T2 Camper Van", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 46.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 190.95, "target": 5.36 }, { "set_id": "10283", "name": "NASA Space Shuttle Discovery", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 203.79, "target": 1.89 }, { "set_id": "10284", "name": "Camp Nou - FC Barcelona", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 73.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 485.9, "target": 10.14 }, { "set_id": "10290", "name": "Pickup Truck", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 151.31, "target": 5.0 }, { "set_id": "10292", "name": "The Friends Apartments", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 62.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 352.0, "target": 15.79 }, { "set_id": "10294", "name": "Titanic", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 627.9, "current_value_chf": 598.39, "target": -1.03 }, { "set_id": "10295", "name": "Porsche 911", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2021, "retired": false, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 149.59, "target": -0.89 }, { "set_id": "10297", "name": "Boutique Hotel", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 197.84, "target": -1.56 }, { "set_id": "10299", "name": "Real Madrid - Santiago Bernabéu Stadium", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 704.0, "target": 16.04 }, { "set_id": "10300", "name": "Back to the Future Time Machine", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -1.13 }, { "set_id": "10302", "name": "Optimus Prime", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": -1.17 }, { "set_id": "10303", "name": "Loop Coaster", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 478.8, "target": 6.7 }, { "set_id": "10304", "name": "Chevrolet Camaro Z/28 1969", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 57.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 176.7, "target": 3.07 }, { "set_id": "10305", "name": "Lion Knights' Castle", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 64.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 494.32, "target": 7.76 }, { "set_id": "10306", "name": "Atari 2600", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 227.57, "target": 0.68 }, { "set_id": "10307", "name": "Eiffel Tower", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 581.73, "current_value_chf": 554.39, "target": -1.33 }, { "set_id": "10312", "name": "Jazz Club", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 280.86, "target": 8.32 }, { "set_id": "10316", "name": "The Lord of the Rings: Rivendell", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 439.99, "target": -1.44 }, { "set_id": "10317", "name": "Land Rover Classic Defender 90", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 219.5, "target": -0.29 }, { "set_id": "10318", "name": "Concorde", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -1.69 }, { "set_id": "10320", "name": "Eldorado Fortress", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 198.52, "current_value_chf": 236.33, "target": 5.99 }, { "set_id": "10321", "name": "Corvette", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 165.96, "target": 6.39 }, { "set_id": "10323", "name": "PAC-MAN Arcade", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 249.31, "current_value_chf": 237.59, "target": -1.55 }, { "set_id": "10326", "name": "Natural History Museum", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 263.99, "target": -1.85 }, { "set_id": "10327", "name": "Dune Atreides Royal Ornithopter", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 152.35, "current_value_chf": 145.19, "target": -1.97 }, { "set_id": "10332", "name": "Medieval Town Square", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 266.02, "target": 10.57 }, { "set_id": "10333", "name": "The Lord of the Rings: Barad-dûr", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 424.75, "current_value_chf": 404.79, "target": -2.28 }, { "set_id": "10335", "name": "The Endurance", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 249.31, "current_value_chf": 237.59, "target": -2.99 }, { "set_id": "10337", "name": "Lamborghini Countach 5000 Quattrovalvole", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": -2.38 }, { "set_id": "10341", "name": "NASA Artemis Space Launch System", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 240.07, "current_value_chf": 228.79, "target": -2.23 }, { "set_id": "10350", "name": "Tudor Corner", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -3.16 }, { "set_id": "10351", "name": "Sherlock Holmes: Book Nook", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 114.39, "target": 2.98 }, { "set_id": "10352", "name": "The Simpsons: Krusty Burger", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 184.79, "target": 0.06 }, { "set_id": "10354", "name": "The Lord of the Rings: The Shire", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 27.0, "rrp_chf": 249.31, "current_value_chf": 237.59, "target": -3.78 }, { "set_id": "10357", "name": "Shelby Cobra 427 S/C", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 140.79, "target": 1.65 }, { "set_id": "10360", "name": "Shuttle Carrier Aircraft", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 27.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -4.17 }, { "set_id": "10367", "name": "The Lord of the Rings: Balrog Book Nook", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 29.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 114.39, "target": 2.98 }, { "set_id": "10391", "name": "Over the Moon with Pharrell Williams", "theme": "Icons", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 54.0, "rrp_chf": 101.56, "current_value_chf": 128.02, "target": 13.89 }, { "set_id": "21005", "name": "Fallingwater", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2009, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 83.1, "current_value_chf": 391.34, "target": 9.59 }, { "set_id": "21010", "name": "Robie House", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2011, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 162.23, "current_value_chf": 528.0, "target": 8.29 }, { "set_id": "21017", "name": "Imperial Hotel", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 44.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 178.5, "target": 3.64 }, { "set_id": "21030", "name": "United States Capitol Building", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2016, "retired": true, "score": 64.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 196.77, "target": 8.04 }, { "set_id": "21042", "name": "Statue of Liberty", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2018, "retired": false, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 105.59, "target": 1.67 }, { "set_id": "21046", "name": "Empire State Building", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 180.23, "target": 10.15 }, { "set_id": "21050", "name": "Studio", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2013, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 330.18, "target": 6.42 }, { "set_id": "21054", "name": "The White House", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": 9.28 }, { "set_id": "21056", "name": "Taj Mahal", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 123.39, "target": 2.14 }, { "set_id": "21058", "name": "The Great Pyramid of Giza", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 43.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 114.39, "target": -2.95 }, { "set_id": "21060", "name": "Himeji Castle", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 140.79, "target": -1.64 }, { "set_id": "21061", "name": "Notre-Dame de Paris", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 24.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -2.28 }, { "set_id": "21062", "name": "Trevi Fountain", "theme": "Architecture", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 20.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 140.79, "target": -3.54 }, { "set_id": "21309", "name": "NASA Apollo Saturn V", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 70.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 243.68, "target": 9.07 }, { "set_id": "21310", "name": "Old Fishing Store", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2017, "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 419.7, "target": 13.38 }, { "set_id": "21311", "name": "Voltron", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 66.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 439.96, "target": 13.08 }, { "set_id": "21317", "name": "Steamboat Willie", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 81.0, "current_value_chf": 132.0, "target": 6.97 }, { "set_id": "21318", "name": "Tree House", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 32.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 205.56, "target": -1.66 }, { "set_id": "21322", "name": "Pirates of Barracuda Bay", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 73.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 325.6, "target": 9.5 }, { "set_id": "21323", "name": "Grand Piano", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": false, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 351.99, "target": -0.81 }, { "set_id": "21324", "name": "123 Sesame Street", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 72.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 172.3, "target": 8.11 }, { "set_id": "21325", "name": "Medieval Blacksmith", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 166.85, "target": 0.07 }, { "set_id": "21326", "name": "Winnie the Pooh", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 69.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 147.58, "target": 9.27 }, { "set_id": "21327", "name": "Typewriter", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 277.2, "target": 3.73 }, { "set_id": "21329", "name": "Fender Stratocaster", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 67.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 167.18, "target": 9.05 }, { "set_id": "21330", "name": "Home Alone", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 263.99, "target": -1.03 }, { "set_id": "21332", "name": "The Globe", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 52.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 259.39, "target": 4.64 }, { "set_id": "21333", "name": "Vincent van Gogh - The Starry Night", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 149.59, "target": -1.17 }, { "set_id": "21334", "name": "Jazz Quartet", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 56.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 153.15, "target": 13.48 }, { "set_id": "21335", "name": "Motorised Lighthouse", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 342.3, "target": 5.68 }, { "set_id": "21336", "name": "The Office", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 62.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 131.48, "target": 4.67 }, { "set_id": "21337", "name": "Table Football", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 216.89, "target": -1.69 }, { "set_id": "21338", "name": "A-Frame Cabin", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 188.8, "target": 3.81 }, { "set_id": "21339", "name": "BTS Dynamite", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 75.08, "target": -6.01 }, { "set_id": "21341", "name": "Disney Hocus Pocus: The Sanderson Sisters' Cottage", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 58.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 263.49, "target": 7.45 }, { "set_id": "21343", "name": "Viking Village", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 56.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 153.9, "target": 6.54 }, { "set_id": "21344", "name": "The Orient Express Train", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 67.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 455.49, "target": 21.22 }, { "set_id": "21346", "name": "Family Tree", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 83.1, "current_value_chf": 70.39, "target": -6.64 }, { "set_id": "21347", "name": "Red London Telephone Box", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 106.18, "current_value_chf": 99.93, "target": -2.49 }, { "set_id": "21348", "name": "Dungeons & Dragons: Red Dragon's Tale", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 332.41, "current_value_chf": 316.79, "target": -2.12 }, { "set_id": "21349", "name": "Tuxedo Cat", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 87.99, "target": -2.28 }, { "set_id": "21350", "name": "Jaws", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 131.99, "target": -2.49 }, { "set_id": "21351", "name": "Disney Tim Burton's The Nightmare Before Christmas", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 30.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -2.6 }, { "set_id": "21352", "name": "Magic of Disney", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 87.99, "target": -2.71 }, { "set_id": "21353", "name": "The Botanical Garden", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 290.39, "target": -2.85 }, { "set_id": "21354", "name": "Twilight The Cullen House", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 26.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 193.59, "target": -3.35 }, { "set_id": "21356", "name": "River Steamboat", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 24.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 290.39, "target": -3.82 }, { "set_id": "21358", "name": "Minifigure Vending Machine", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 29.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": 0.83 }, { "set_id": "42082", "name": "Rough Terrain Crane", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 337.88, "target": 6.04 }, { "set_id": "42083", "name": "Bugatti Chiron", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2018, "retired": true, "score": 32.0, "rrp_chf": 341.65, "current_value_chf": 368.37, "target": 0.94 }, { "set_id": "42096", "name": "Porsche 911 RSR", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 24.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 162.07, "target": -1.73 }, { "set_id": "42099", "name": "4x4 X-Treme Off-Roader", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 259.6, "target": 2.95 }, { "set_id": "42100", "name": "Liebherr R 9800", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 61.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 803.9, "target": 10.27 }, { "set_id": "42110", "name": "Land Rover Defender", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2019, "retired": true, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 213.37, "target": 2.16 }, { "set_id": "42114", "name": "6x6 Volvo Articulated Hauler", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 65.0, "rrp_chf": 240.07, "current_value_chf": 385.83, "target": 8.35 }, { "set_id": "42115", "name": "Lamborghini Sián FKP 37", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 395.98, "target": -0.79 }, { "set_id": "42125", "name": "Ferrari 488 GTE 'AF Corse #51'", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 217.84, "target": 3.05 }, { "set_id": "42128", "name": "Heavy-Duty Tow Truck", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 52.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 235.64, "target": 7.36 }, { "set_id": "42129", "name": "4x4 Mercedes-Benz Zetros Trial Truck", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 304.71, "current_value_chf": 258.37, "target": -3.3 }, { "set_id": "42130", "name": "BMW M 1000 RR", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 37.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 232.62, "target": 0.17 }, { "set_id": "42131", "name": "Cat D11 Bulldozer", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 785.84, "target": 11.85 }, { "set_id": "42141", "name": "McLaren Formula 1 Race Car", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.74, "target": -1.14 }, { "set_id": "42143", "name": "Ferrari Daytona SP3", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2022, "retired": false, "score": 26.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 395.99, "target": -1.17 }, { "set_id": "42145", "name": "Airbus H175 Rescue Helicopter", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 193.9, "current_value_chf": 265.14, "target": 8.28 }, { "set_id": "42146", "name": "Liebherr Crawler Crane LR 13000", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 627.9, "current_value_chf": 647.5, "target": 1.06 }, { "set_id": "42156", "name": "PEUGEOT 9X8 24H Le Mans Hybrid Hypercar", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 176.0, "target": -1.51 }, { "set_id": "42157", "name": "John Deere 948L-II Skidder", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "rrp_chf": 175.44, "current_value_chf": 202.4, "target": 5.02 }, { "set_id": "42159", "name": "Yamaha MT-10 SP", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 30.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 212.7, "target": 0.05 }, { "set_id": "42160", "name": "Audi RS Q e-tron", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": 0.31 }, { "set_id": "42171", "name": "Mercedes-AMG F1 W14 E Performance", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 193.59, "target": -2.04 }, { "set_id": "42172", "name": "McLaren P1", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 395.99, "target": -2.48 }, { "set_id": "42175", "name": "Volvo FMX Truck & EC230 Electric Excavator", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -2.48 }, { "set_id": "42176", "name": "Porsche GT4 e-Performance Race Car", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 149.59, "target": -2.48 }, { "set_id": "42177", "name": "Mercedes-Benz G 500 PROFESSIONAL Line", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 219.99, "target": -2.48 }, { "set_id": "42182", "name": "NASA Apollo Lunar Roving Vehicle - LRV", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 173.75, "target": -7.83 }, { "set_id": "42202", "name": "Ducati Panigale V4 S Motorcycle", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -3.16 }, { "set_id": "42206", "name": "Oracle Red Bull Racing RB20 F1 Car", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 17.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 211.19, "target": -0.42 }, { "set_id": "42207", "name": "Ferrari SF-24 F1 Car", "theme": "Technic", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 17.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -3.54 }, { "set_id": "43179", "name": "Mickey Mouse and Minnie Mouse Buildable Characters ", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 32.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 176.14, "target": 0.97 }, { "set_id": "43196", "name": "Belle and the Beast's Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 29.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 70.36, "target": -5.2 }, { "set_id": "43197", "name": "The Ice Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 253.07, "target": 4.49 }, { "set_id": "43205", "name": "Ultimate Adventure Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 96.78, "target": 1.21 }, { "set_id": "43207", "name": "Ariel's Underwater Palace", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 43.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 110.0, "target": 4.12 }, { "set_id": "43215", "name": "The Enchanted Treehouse", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 140.8, "target": -3.46 }, { "set_id": "43222", "name": "Disney Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 369.35, "current_value_chf": 439.72, "target": 5.98 }, { "set_id": "43224", "name": "King Magnifico's Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 87.71, "current_value_chf": 77.44, "target": -4.43 }, { "set_id": "43225", "name": "The Little Mermaid Royal Clamshell", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 67.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 228.54, "target": 15.19 }, { "set_id": "43227", "name": "Villain Icons", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 159.38, "target": 7.02 }, { "set_id": "43230", "name": "Walt Disney Tribute Camera", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 47.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 98.07, "target": 2.15 }, { "set_id": "43242", "name": "Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs' Cottage", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 203.14, "current_value_chf": 304.26, "target": 18.88 }, { "set_id": "43244", "name": "Elsa's Ice Palace", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 20.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 87.99, "target": -2.38 }, { "set_id": "43245", "name": "The Magical Madrigal House ", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 147.73, "current_value_chf": 131.12, "target": -5.79 }, { "set_id": "43246", "name": "Disney Princess Market Adventure", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 33.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 88.0, "target": -1.9 }, { "set_id": "43247", "name": "Young Simba the Lion King", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 23.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 114.39, "target": -2.28 }, { "set_id": "43258", "name": "Kakamora Barge", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 19.0, "rrp_chf": 92.33, "current_value_chf": 87.99, "target": -4.34 }, { "set_id": "43263", "name": "Beauty and the Beast Castle", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 41.0, "rrp_chf": 258.54, "current_value_chf": 246.39, "target": -3.77 }, { "set_id": "43267", "name": "Princess Castle & Royal Pets", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 23.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 114.39, "target": 2.98 }, { "set_id": "43268", "name": "Lilo and Stitch Beach House", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 83.1, "current_value_chf": 79.19, "target": -3.54 }, { "set_id": "43269", "name": "101 Dalmatians Puppy", "theme": "Disney", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 131.99, "target": 1.94 }, { "set_id": "4842", "name": "Hogwarts Castle", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2010, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 105.45, "current_value_chf": 226.98, "target": 4.96 }, { "set_id": "71043", "name": "Hogwarts Castle", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2018, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 433.99, "current_value_chf": 413.59, "target": -0.61 }, { "set_id": "75354", "name": "Coruscant Guard Gunship", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 125.33, "target": -3.46 }, { "set_id": "75355", "name": "X-wing Starfighter", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "rrp_chf": 221.61, "current_value_chf": 246.38, "target": 3.4 }, { "set_id": "75357", "name": "Ghost & Phantom II", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 41.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 140.76, "target": -3.77 }, { "set_id": "75365", "name": "Yavin 4 Rebel Base", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 175.97, "target": 3.99 }, { "set_id": "75367", "name": "Venator-class Republic Attack Cruiser", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 40.0, "rrp_chf": 600.2, "current_value_chf": 571.99, "target": -1.73 }, { "set_id": "75371", "name": "Chewbacca", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "rrp_chf": 193.9, "current_value_chf": 250.52, "target": 9.46 }, { "set_id": "75374", "name": "The Onyx Cinder", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 57.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 131.91, "target": 1.06 }, { "set_id": "75382", "name": "TIE Interceptor", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 212.37, "current_value_chf": 202.39, "target": -2.2 }, { "set_id": "75389", "name": "The Dark Falcon", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 166.2, "current_value_chf": 158.39, "target": -2.48 }, { "set_id": "75393", "name": "TIE Fighter & X-wing Mash-up", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 101.56, "current_value_chf": 100.7, "target": -0.44 }, { "set_id": "75394", "name": "Imperial Star Destroyer", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 140.79, "target": -5.52 }, { "set_id": "75397", "name": "Jabba's Sail Barge", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 439.99, "target": -2.72 }, { "set_id": "75398", "name": "C-3PO", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 131.99, "target": 1.09 }, { "set_id": "75409", "name": "Jango Fett's Starship", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 263.99, "target": -4.03 }, { "set_id": "75416", "name": "Chopper (C1-10P)", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 25.0, "rrp_chf": 101.56, "current_value_chf": 87.99, "target": -11.55 }, { "set_id": "75428", "name": "Battle Droid with STAP", "theme": "Star Wars", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 27.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 123.19, "target": 2.63 }, { "set_id": "75978", "name": "Diagon Alley", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "rrp_chf": 415.52, "current_value_chf": 501.52, "target": 3.28 }, { "set_id": "76389", "name": "Hogwarts Chamber of Secrets", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 136.4, "target": -0.3 }, { "set_id": "76391", "name": "Hogwarts Icons - Collectors' Edition", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 51.0, "rrp_chf": 277.01, "current_value_chf": 328.13, "target": 3.6 }, { "set_id": "76393", "name": "Harry Potter & Hermione Granger", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2021, "retired": true, "score": 53.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 147.77, "target": 4.17 }, { "set_id": "76405", "name": "Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 461.69, "current_value_chf": 526.49, "target": 3.48 }, { "set_id": "76408", "name": "12 Grimmauld Place", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2022, "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 240.75, "target": 18.82 }, { "set_id": "76417", "name": "Gringotts Wizarding Bank - Collectors' Edition", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 64.0, "rrp_chf": 397.05, "current_value_chf": 553.62, "target": 12.45 }, { "set_id": "76419", "name": "Hogwarts Castle and Grounds", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2023, "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "rrp_chf": 156.97, "current_value_chf": 149.59, "target": -1.69 }, { "set_id": "76423", "name": "Hogwarts Express & Hogsmeade Station", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2023, "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 120.03, "current_value_chf": 105.58, "target": -4.07 }, { "set_id": "76435", "name": "Hogwarts Castle: The Great Hall ", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -2.28 }, { "set_id": "76437", "name": "The Burrow - Collectors' Edition", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2024, "retired": false, "score": 35.0, "rrp_chf": 240.07, "current_value_chf": 228.79, "target": -2.59 }, { "set_id": "76440", "name": "Triwizard Tournament: The Arrival", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2024, "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "rrp_chf": 129.27, "current_value_chf": 127.6, "target": -0.62 }, { "set_id": "76444", "name": "Diagon Alley Wizarding Shops", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 22.0, "rrp_chf": 184.67, "current_value_chf": 175.99, "target": -3.16 }, { "set_id": "76453", "name": "Malfoy Manor", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "rrp_chf": 138.5, "current_value_chf": 131.99, "target": -3.16 }, { "set_id": "76454", "name": "Hogwarts Castle: The Main Tower", "theme": "Harry Potter", "year": 2025, "retired": false, "score": 36.0, "rrp_chf": 230.84, "current_value_chf": 228.79, "target": -0.82 }, { "set_id": "92176", "name": "NASA Apollo Saturn V", "theme": "Ideas", "year": 2020, "retired": true, "score": 54.0, "rrp_chf": 110.8, "current_value_chf": 249.57, "target": 15.41 } ] }, "disagreements": { "overrated_by_score": [ { "set_id": "10335", "name": "The Endurance", "theme": "Icons", "retired": false, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.99, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.14, "divergence": 0.52, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 22.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +22, theme +20, retirement +8" }, { "set_id": "10307", "name": "Eiffel Tower", "theme": "Icons", "retired": false, "score": 55.0, "target_pct_growth": -1.33, "score_percentile": 0.8, "target_percentile": 0.34, "divergence": 0.46, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 13.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 22.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +22, theme +20, retirement +13" }, { "set_id": "75354", "name": "Coruscant Guard Gunship", "theme": "Star Wars", "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "target_pct_growth": -3.46, "score_percentile": 0.56, "target_percentile": 0.1, "divergence": 0.46, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +18, forecast +7" }, { "set_id": "10341", "name": "NASA Artemis Space Launch System", "theme": "Icons", "retired": false, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.23, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.25, "divergence": 0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 22.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +22, theme +20, retirement +8" }, { "set_id": "21353", "name": "The Botanical Garden", "theme": "Ideas", "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.85, "score_percentile": 0.56, "target_percentile": 0.15, "divergence": 0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 17.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, forecast +17, retirement +8" }, { "set_id": "43263", "name": "Beauty and the Beast Castle", "theme": "Disney", "retired": false, "score": 41.0, "target_pct_growth": -3.77, "score_percentile": 0.49, "target_percentile": 0.08, "divergence": 0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 22.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 15.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +22, theme +15, retirement +4" }, { "set_id": "75357", "name": "Ghost & Phantom II", "theme": "Star Wars", "retired": true, "score": 41.0, "target_pct_growth": -3.77, "score_percentile": 0.49, "target_percentile": 0.08, "divergence": 0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +18, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "21346", "name": "Family Tree", "theme": "Ideas", "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "target_pct_growth": -6.64, "score_percentile": 0.41, "target_percentile": 0.02, "divergence": 0.4, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 17.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, theme +17, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "21058", "name": "The Great Pyramid of Giza", "theme": "Architecture", "retired": false, "score": 43.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.95, "score_percentile": 0.53, "target_percentile": 0.15, "divergence": 0.38, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 13.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 17.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 13.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +17, retirement +13, theme +13" }, { "set_id": "75374", "name": "The Onyx Cinder", "theme": "Star Wars", "retired": true, "score": 57.0, "target_pct_growth": 1.06, "score_percentile": 0.83, "target_percentile": 0.48, "divergence": 0.35, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 17.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +18, forecast +17" }, { "set_id": "10297", "name": "Boutique Hotel", "theme": "Icons", "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": -1.56, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.32, "divergence": 0.34, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +18, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "76435", "name": "Hogwarts Castle: The Great Hall ", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.28, "score_percentile": 0.56, "target_percentile": 0.23, "divergence": 0.33, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 22.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 15.0 }, "driving_factors": "forecast +22, theme +15, retirement +8" }, { "set_id": "43245", "name": "The Magical Madrigal House ", "theme": "Disney", "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "target_pct_growth": -5.79, "score_percentile": 0.34, "target_percentile": 0.03, "divergence": 0.32, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 14.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, theme +14, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "10265", "name": "Ford Mustang", "theme": "Creator Expert", "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "target_pct_growth": 2.89, "score_percentile": 0.86, "target_percentile": 0.55, "divergence": 0.31, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 16.0, "spread": 9.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +16, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "10270", "name": "Bookshop", "theme": "Creator Expert", "retired": true, "score": 69.0, "target_pct_growth": 4.52, "score_percentile": 0.97, "target_percentile": 0.66, "divergence": 0.31, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 16.0, "spread": 14.0, "forecast": 17.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, forecast +17, retirement +16" }, { "set_id": "21339", "name": "BTS Dynamite", "theme": "Ideas", "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "target_pct_growth": -6.01, "score_percentile": 0.32, "target_percentile": 0.02, "divergence": 0.3, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 12.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 19.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +19, retirement +12, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "10283", "name": "NASA Space Shuttle Discovery", "theme": "Icons", "retired": true, "score": 55.0, "target_pct_growth": 1.89, "score_percentile": 0.8, "target_percentile": 0.51, "divergence": 0.29, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 16.0, "spread": 5.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +16, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "76423", "name": "Hogwarts Express & Hogsmeade Station", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "target_pct_growth": -4.07, "score_percentile": 0.34, "target_percentile": 0.06, "divergence": 0.29, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 14.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, theme +14, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "75978", "name": "Diagon Alley", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": true, "score": 59.0, "target_pct_growth": 3.28, "score_percentile": 0.86, "target_percentile": 0.59, "divergence": 0.27, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 9.0, "forecast": 17.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 15.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, forecast +17, theme +15" }, { "set_id": "10318", "name": "Concorde", "theme": "Icons", "retired": false, "score": 45.0, "target_pct_growth": -1.69, "score_percentile": 0.56, "target_percentile": 0.3, "divergence": 0.26, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 13.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +13, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "43224", "name": "King Magnifico's Castle", "theme": "Disney", "retired": true, "score": 33.0, "target_pct_growth": -4.43, "score_percentile": 0.29, "target_percentile": 0.04, "divergence": 0.25, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 12.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, theme +12, forecast +3" }, { "set_id": "10304", "name": "Chevrolet Camaro Z/28 1969", "theme": "Icons", "retired": true, "score": 57.0, "target_pct_growth": 3.07, "score_percentile": 0.83, "target_percentile": 0.59, "divergence": 0.24, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 16.0, "spread": 5.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 4.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +16, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "10262", "name": "James Bond Aston Martin DB5", "theme": "Creator Expert", "retired": true, "score": 68.0, "target_pct_growth": 6.06, "score_percentile": 0.95, "target_percentile": 0.73, "divergence": 0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 16.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, spread +18, retirement +16" }, { "set_id": "10317", "name": "Land Rover Classic Defender 90", "theme": "Icons", "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": -0.29, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.42, "divergence": 0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "theme +20, retirement +18, forecast +12" }, { "set_id": "21347", "name": "Red London Telephone Box", "theme": "Ideas", "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.49, "score_percentile": 0.41, "target_percentile": 0.18, "divergence": 0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 17.0 }, "driving_factors": "retirement +18, theme +17, forecast +3" } ], "underrated_by_score": [ { "set_id": "43267", "name": "Princess Castle & Royal Pets", "theme": "Disney", "retired": false, "score": 23.0, "target_pct_growth": 2.98, "score_percentile": 0.09, "target_percentile": 0.57, "divergence": -0.48, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 14.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "43269", "name": "101 Dalmatians Puppy", "theme": "Disney", "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "target_pct_growth": 1.94, "score_percentile": 0.05, "target_percentile": 0.52, "divergence": -0.46, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 12.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "21010", "name": "Robie House", "theme": "Architecture", "retired": true, "score": 38.0, "target_pct_growth": 8.29, "score_percentile": 0.41, "target_percentile": 0.82, "divergence": -0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 13.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, forecast 3/22" }, { "set_id": "42206", "name": "Oracle Red Bull Racing RB20 F1 Car", "theme": "Technic", "retired": false, "score": 17.0, "target_pct_growth": -0.42, "score_percentile": 0.01, "target_percentile": 0.41, "divergence": -0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, spread 0/18, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "75428", "name": "Battle Droid with STAP", "theme": "Star Wars", "retired": false, "score": 27.0, "target_pct_growth": 2.63, "score_percentile": 0.13, "target_percentile": 0.54, "divergence": -0.41, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 18.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "10367", "name": "The Lord of the Rings: Balrog Book Nook", "theme": "Icons", "retired": false, "score": 29.0, "target_pct_growth": 2.98, "score_percentile": 0.17, "target_percentile": 0.57, "divergence": -0.4, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "42082", "name": "Rough Terrain Crane", "theme": "Technic", "retired": true, "score": 35.0, "target_pct_growth": 6.04, "score_percentile": 0.34, "target_percentile": 0.72, "divergence": -0.38, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, forecast 3/22" }, { "set_id": "21005", "name": "Fallingwater", "theme": "Architecture", "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "target_pct_growth": 9.59, "score_percentile": 0.51, "target_percentile": 0.88, "divergence": -0.37, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 13.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, retirement 4/18" }, { "set_id": "76408", "name": "12 Grimmauld Place", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "target_pct_growth": 18.82, "score_percentile": 0.62, "target_percentile": 0.99, "divergence": -0.37, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 14.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 2/10" }, { "set_id": "10217", "name": "Diagon Alley", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": true, "score": 37.0, "target_pct_growth": 6.18, "score_percentile": 0.39, "target_percentile": 0.73, "divergence": -0.35, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 0.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 15.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, forecast 0/22, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "42160", "name": "Audi RS Q e-tron", "theme": "Technic", "retired": false, "score": 28.0, "target_pct_growth": 0.31, "score_percentile": 0.15, "target_percentile": 0.45, "divergence": -0.3, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 13.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "21358", "name": "Minifigure Vending Machine", "theme": "Ideas", "retired": false, "score": 29.0, "target_pct_growth": 0.83, "score_percentile": 0.17, "target_percentile": 0.46, "divergence": -0.29, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "10241", "name": "Maersk Line Triple-E", "theme": "Creator Expert", "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "target_pct_growth": 10.12, "score_percentile": 0.62, "target_percentile": 0.89, "divergence": -0.27, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, retirement 4/18" }, { "set_id": "42131", "name": "Cat D11 Bulldozer", "theme": "Technic", "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": 11.85, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.92, "divergence": -0.27, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 12.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 2/10" }, { "set_id": "42145", "name": "Airbus H175 Rescue Helicopter", "theme": "Technic", "retired": true, "score": 45.0, "target_pct_growth": 8.28, "score_percentile": 0.56, "target_percentile": 0.82, "divergence": -0.26, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 12.0, "spread": 14.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 2/10" }, { "set_id": "75398", "name": "C-3PO", "theme": "Star Wars", "retired": false, "score": 31.0, "target_pct_growth": 1.09, "score_percentile": 0.23, "target_percentile": 0.48, "divergence": -0.26, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 18.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, spread 2/18" }, { "set_id": "10257", "name": "Carousel", "theme": "Creator Expert", "retired": true, "score": 49.0, "target_pct_growth": 9.35, "score_percentile": 0.62, "target_percentile": 0.86, "divergence": -0.24, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, retirement 4/18" }, { "set_id": "42099", "name": "4x4 X-Treme Off-Roader", "theme": "Technic", "retired": true, "score": 34.0, "target_pct_growth": 2.95, "score_percentile": 0.32, "target_percentile": 0.56, "divergence": -0.24, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 9.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "42159", "name": "Yamaha MT-10 SP", "theme": "Technic", "retired": true, "score": 30.0, "target_pct_growth": 0.05, "score_percentile": 0.18, "target_percentile": 0.43, "divergence": -0.24, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 18.0, "spread": 2.0, "forecast": 0.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, forecast 0/22, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "21050", "name": "Studio", "theme": "Architecture", "retired": true, "score": 42.0, "target_pct_growth": 6.42, "score_percentile": 0.51, "target_percentile": 0.74, "divergence": -0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 13.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, retirement 4/18" }, { "set_id": "42143", "name": "Ferrari Daytona SP3", "theme": "Technic", "retired": false, "score": 26.0, "target_pct_growth": -1.17, "score_percentile": 0.12, "target_percentile": 0.35, "divergence": -0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 13.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, spread 0/18, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "4842", "name": "Hogwarts Castle", "theme": "Harry Potter", "retired": true, "score": 39.0, "target_pct_growth": 4.96, "score_percentile": 0.45, "target_percentile": 0.67, "divergence": -0.23, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 4.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 0.0, "momentum": 2.0, "theme": 15.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, forecast 0/22, momentum 2/10" }, { "set_id": "10290", "name": "Pickup Truck", "theme": "Icons", "retired": true, "score": 40.0, "target_pct_growth": 5.0, "score_percentile": 0.47, "target_percentile": 0.68, "divergence": -0.21, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 9.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 20.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, momentum 0/10, forecast 3/22" }, { "set_id": "42171", "name": "Mercedes-AMG F1 W14 E Performance", "theme": "Technic", "retired": false, "score": 21.0, "target_pct_growth": -2.04, "score_percentile": 0.05, "target_percentile": 0.26, "divergence": -0.21, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 0.0, "forecast": 3.0, "momentum": 0.0, "theme": 10.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12, spread 0/18, momentum 0/10" }, { "set_id": "21054", "name": "The White House", "theme": "Architecture", "retired": true, "score": 50.0, "target_pct_growth": 9.28, "score_percentile": 0.66, "target_percentile": 0.86, "divergence": -0.2, "breakdown": { "discount": 0.0, "retirement": 8.0, "spread": 18.0, "forecast": 7.0, "momentum": 4.0, "theme": 13.0 }, "driving_factors": "discount 0/12" } ] }, "history": { "present": true, "distinct_dates": 54, "first_date": "2026-05-03", "last_date": "2026-07-02", "calendar_span_days": 61, "missing_dates": [ "2026-06-10 -> 2026-06-12", "2026-06-19 -> 2026-06-21", "2026-06-21 -> 2026-06-23", "2026-06-23 -> 2026-06-25", "2026-06-25 -> 2026-06-27", "2026-06-27 -> 2026-06-29", "2026-06-30 -> 2026-07-02" ], "rows_per_date_min": 250, "rows_per_date_max": 250, "null_market_value_latest_date": 0, "bad_lines": 0, "sets_joined_to_data_json": 250, "latest_snapshot_vs_current_value_mismatch_gt5pct": 0, "verdict": "Snapshot log is healthy but far too short for a return backtest. Used for data-quality checks only." }, "experiments": [ { "experiment": "Fix or retire 'discount' — it is dead weight right now", "reason": "Constant at 0 pts for every set in both samples (the retail feed currently equals RRP everywhere, so it never fires). It cannot carry signal until its input data varies." }, { "experiment": "Review 'spread' direction — it points the WRONG way on 12m_growth", "reason": "rho=-0.250 on 12m_growth (n per factor table)." }, { "experiment": "Down-weight 'theme' (currently max 20 pts) by ~50%", "reason": "No meaningful signal on any non-circular target: 12m_growth rho=-0.085, lifetime_annualized rho=+0.133" }, { "experiment": "Up-weight 'forecast' (max 22 pts) by the points freed from down-weighted factors", "reason": "Strongest non-circular factor, rho=+0.521." }, { "experiment": "Re-run this report after each re-weighting; validate against price_history.jsonl once 6+ months exist (Oct-Nov 2026)", "reason": "All current evidence is backward-looking agreement, not predictive power." } ] }